军用系统间歇可用度及其战时计算模型研究

根据我军训练和作战的实际情况,对间歇可用度（AP）的概念进行了分析,说明了它在一次作战任务周期内计算精度要优于使用可用度,推导出了它的战时计算模型,界定了其使用条件与限制要求。最后通过仿真计算,证明了间歇可用度战时计算模型的可行性。     

一类非线性时滞系统的时滞相关稳定性分析

针对一类非线性时变时滞系统,基于T-S模糊模型,采用自由权矩阵的方法,研究了该系统的稳定性问题。设计了一个与系统状态变量的导数有关的模糊控制器,推导出该控制器使闭环系统渐近稳定的充分条件,该条件等价于一类线性矩阵不等式（LMI）的可解性,并以仿真算例证明了控制器的有效性。     

基于任务可用度模型的指数分布型备件随舰携行量计算模型

针对现有的战备完好性计算模型与备件数量关联度不强的问题和基于战备完好性的备件数量计算大多采用仿真方法的不足,提出了能够考虑备件数量影响的舰船装备任务可用度的概念及其计算模型,并在此基础上研究了寿命服从指数分布的备件在故障后采用更换策略时,装备的任务可用度与备件携行量的关系,得到了一个可以通过解析计算确定备件数量的新模型...     

导弹装备战备完好性评估模型

针对当前对导弹战备完好性水平缺乏系统性评估,给导弹装备管理决策带来极大困难,难以适应当前转型建设导弹装备保障要求的问题,在对现役导弹装备任务剖面分析的基础上,对影响导弹战备完好性的重要参数使用可用度进行了研究,给出了基于可用性理论的导弹装备使用可用度评估方法和模型,根据部队导弹装备服役的相关信息,对该模型进行了评估验证,经验证,该方法可有效地分析导弹使用可用度,研究结论对于提升导弹装备战备完好性具有一定的借鉴意义。     

Investigating optimal replacement of aging air force systems

An availability‐oriented approach has been developed to decide when to replace an aging system. For an existing system, it is optimal to operate another year if and only if the incremental cost per available year is less than the lifetime average cost per available year of a new aircraft. We illustrate our approach using United States Air Force KC‐135 tanker data. In demonstrating our approach, we find it will be optimal to replace the KC‐135 by the end of the decade.     

Guns for Butter? Empirical Evidence from China

Abstract

This study examines the causal nexus between defence spending and education expenditure in China using the bootstrap Granger full-sample causality test and sub-sample rolling window estimation. The full-sample result indicates that there is no causality between defence spending and education expenditure. By adopting a time-varying rolling window approach to revisit the dynamic causal relationships, this article identifies a negative unidirectional causality running from education expenditure to defence spending. The finding suggests that it is the education expenditure crowds out defence spending in China rather than reverse. No causality is demonstrated from defence spending to education expenditure, indicating that an increase in military spending will not crowd out expenditure on education. The results could be partly explained by that the education expenditure in China is below the requirement of corresponding economic growth, urging for more financial budget. Whereas the findings support a negative trade-off between defence and education expenditures, they refute the theory of ‘guns for butter’.     

考虑需求相关的可修复系统备件配置模型

对于一个拥有多台相同设备的可修复系统来说,一种备件的需求以及其对应的备件保障方案将影响着系统的可工作设备数量,从而影响着设备其他备件的需求,故假设备件需求相互独立且与系统自身备件保障方案无关而开展备件配置研究是不合理的.在考虑备件需求相关以及备件的保障方案对备件需求的影响的前提下,利用马尔可夫理论描述了备件需求规律,针对不串件拼修和串件拼修两种情况分别给出了可用度的计算方法,并在此基础上以备件配置费用作为优化目标,以可用度作为约束构建备件优化配置模型,给出了边际分析求解模型的方法.通过案例分析,验证了模型的正确性.     

一种可移动式科氏流量计实验平台设计与实现

为提高科氏流量计的计量精度,促进相关数字信号处理方法与技术的发展和进口高精度科氏流量计的国产化,设计了一种可移动式科氏流量计实验平台。简述了科氏流量计的基本原理和相关数字信号的处理方法,指明了相关方法的研究趋势。针对研究趋势,分析了科氏流量计实验平台的功能需求,给出了总体设计方案、硬件选型、软件流程和技术指标,重点阐述了数据采集模块(以PLC和NI9234为核心部件)的详细设计,给出了实验平台的初步测试结果。测试表明,该实验平台性能稳定,功能全面,能较好地为开展科氏流量计相关数字信号处理方法研究提供平台支撑。     

挠性航天器变幅值输入成形姿态机动策略

针对变参数挠性航天器的姿态机动问题,在变幅值零振动成形器的基础上,提出了鲁棒性较强的变幅值零振动和零微分成形器设计方法,设计了鲁棒姿态机动策略.该机动策略的控制目标是,将航天器机动到期望状态的同时,消除挠性结构的残余振动.以含转动挠性太阳翼的航天器进行三轴姿态机动为例,进行数值仿真.仿真结果表明,该机动策略对挠性结构频...     

Bounding the optimal burn‐in time for a system with two types of failure

Burn‐in is a widely used method to improve the quality of products or systems after they have been produced. In this paper, we consider the problem of determining bounds to the optimal burn‐in time and optimal replacement policy maximizing the steady state availability of a repairable system. It is assumed that two types of system failures may occur: One is Type I failure (minor failure), which can be removed by a minimal repair, and the other is Type II failure (catastrophic failure), which can be removed only by a complete repair. Assuming that the underlying lifetime distribution of the system has a bathtub‐shaped failure rate function, upper and lower bounds for the optimal burn‐in time are provided. Furthermore, some other applications of optimal burn‐in are also considered. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004